Independent research on decision models

Decision models, checked in public

500 models in the directory, 344 open-source projects built on them, 158 head-to-head comparisons, and a full benchmark run with the working shown.

500

decision models tracked

counts re-read from Hugging Face every Monday

2,000

frozen decisions in our benchmark run

accuracy, calibration and coverage, with intervals

344

open-source projects built on them

sorted into 12 clusters by what they do

158

head-to-head comparisons

licence, architecture, size and evidence

Why one number is hiding two

The benchmark everyone in this category reports against ships a flag on every decision saying whether the teacher models that produced the label agreed with each other. Split on it and a single accuracy figure of 0.740 comes apart into 0.841 where the graders converged and 0.591 where they did not.

Those are not the same task. On the first, being wrong means being wrong. On the second there is no objective answer to be right about, and a model that scores well there is most plausibly fitting the teacher ensemble’s noise. Which is also why claims about clearing the teacher ceiling deserve a second look: the only way past it runs through the contested 40%.

Nobody else publishes this split. It takes one line of code and it changes how you read every number in the category.

How we grade what we publish

Every entry carries an evidence grade. Benchmarked means we ran the model on a frozen split ourselves and published accuracy, Brier score and calibration with bootstrap intervals. Community card means the facts are read from the model’s own repository, with the date they were read.

When a published figure does not reproduce, the page says so. Another model’s card cites a calibration error of 0.144 for Jev. We measured 0.045, and the full run shows how.

The directory and the project list are re-read every Monday. New models and projects join the week they appear, and every star, download and like count carries the date it was read.

What we sell

The public run builds a shortlist. It cannot tell you whether a model clears your error budget, because it has never seen your traffic. A private benchmark turns your own historical decisions into a frozen test set and returns the model, the threshold and the coverage your budget actually supports.

Request a benchmark
Request a benchmark

Your decisions are the only test set that counts

We freeze your historical cases into a set nobody gets to tune against, run the candidates through one interface, and hand back the threshold your error budget supports.